If you're a college-basketball fan, you may have subjected yourself to hours of breathless coverage of big-conference bubble teams—Seton Hall made the NCAA tournament, Cincinnati did not. Now you can promptly ignore those five teams that limped into the tournament (Texas A&M, N.C. State, Alabama, Seton Hall, and Wisconsin). Here's why:

In the seven tourneys through 2004, 27 teams from the big six conferences got at-large bids with seeding from 9-12—Gelf's definition of bubbliciousness. None of them won even three games in the tournament. Last year's six entrants held true to form, leaving the big bubblers at 0 for 33. So if you're looking for a run of upsets, look to Wisconsin-Milwaukee before Wisconsin-Madison.